Keir Starmer has returned from his visit to the Far East with significant concessions secured from Chinese President Xi Jinping. Despite interference from Donald Trump, there were no major issues during the trip to Beijing. Now, the focus shifts to domestic matters, particularly the upcoming by-election battle in Greater Manchester.
Set for February 26, the by-election in the safe Labour stronghold of Gorton and Denton follows Andrew Gwynne’s resignation. The decision to block Andy Burnham’s return to Westminster by Labour’s governing body has raised concerns among some MPs about the potential consequences.
Amid speculation, there are differing views on the outcome. While some fear a loss and its implications, others like Labour MP Karl Turner remain optimistic. Turner highlighted the importance of on-the-ground support and the pressure on party leader Keir Starmer.
Polling expert Professor Sir John Curtice emphasized the uncertainty surrounding the by-election, with multiple parties vying for victory. He noted the changing dynamics in the constituency and the challenge posed by Reform UK and the Greens.
Another polling expert, Luke Tryl, sees the by-election as a three-way contest between Labour, Reform UK, and the Greens, with tactical voting likely to influence the outcome. Voters are grappling with strategic choices to counter Reform UK’s influence, adding complexity to the race.
As the by-election approaches, the political landscape remains fluid, with the potential for a closely contested outcome determined by voter behavior on election day.